Imperial Cup Preview – 3.00 Sandown
Currently heading the betting for the race is Fixe Le Kap who hasn’t been seen since
finishing midfield in the Fred Winter at the Cheltenham Festival. He’s clearly
had his problems but it’s interesting that connections have decided to target a
race of this nature on his comeback run. Soft ground seems ideal for him so the
likelihood of testing conditions will suit and he showed some strong novice
form early on in his career against horses who are now rated much higher so is
potentially well treated off a mark of 138.
I strongly fancied William
H Bonney in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury last month but he was ultimately
disappointing having travelled well for a long way. Trainer Alan King was quick
to point out afterwards that he had a feeling the run would come too soon for
the horse (13 days since his win at Cheltenham on Trials Day) and has been
given more time to recover from his latest exertions. On the form of his
Cheltenham win he has a strong chance and it’s probably best to forgive him his
latest run and will go close if back to form off just 2lb higher than his
latest win.
Gassin Golf was
an early casualty in the Betfair Hurdle last time but had previously run two
good races off the back of a long lay-off. Kerry Lee has booked the services of
up-and-coming 7lb amateur Richard Patrick who has impressed this season. Has
twice finished placed in this race with a second in 2014 and was third in 2015
off a mark of 132 and races off just 1lb higher this time round.
Ian Williams has been in good form of late and runs London Prize who has remained
consistent in recent runs and was travelling okay when falling four out when
last seen over hurdles. He’s since gone close in a competitive handicap on the
flat. His novice form has worked out relatively well and a mark of 128 looks
fair based on what he’s achieved to date. My slight worry with London Prize is
that his only run on soft ground was a disappointing one and doesn’t look as though
he will appreciate testing conditions.
It’s fair to say recent French recruit Max Do Brazil was disappointing on his British debut in the race
William H Bonney won at Cheltenham on Trials day. He’d previously shown some
respectable form in France and was purchased for £160,000 before joining the
Pipe stable. The Pipe team are notorious for targeting this race and going for
the bonus at Cheltenham and he does hold entries at the festival next week.
Races with a tongue-tie on for the first time.
Admirable performer Kayf
Blanco has produced some good efforts this season, most notably when finishing
a close third behind Brain Power over course and distance earlier in the season.
He’s run some of his best races at the course but the handicapper hasn’t really
given him a chance because of his consistency and although he looks high enough
in the handicap at present, he’s sure to run his race once more.
Gary Moore runs two in this race and his best chance looks
to be Not Another Muddle judging by
Jockey bookings. He’s been progressing nicely in novice company but this is a
big step up in class for his handicap debut and will need to improve on what
he’s shown so far. He should appreciate the ground though as he’s seemed to
relish testing conditions so far in his career.
Bigmartre won a
competitive handicap at Kempton in December off a mark of 133 and is only 1lb
higher than that win now. He would be of interest on that form although he
looked a lucky winner that day with the second being hampered at a crucial
stage and was well behind William H Bonney last time out so needs to put that
run behind him.
Another horse who is potentially well handicapped is Chieftain’s Choice who won well at
Sandown last time out in similar conditions. Will need to step up again on that
form but the runner up has franked the form since and is still 6lb lower than
his highest winning mark.
Fourth to William H Bonney at Cheltenham was Disputed and he’s since finished
second behind an improving horse at Lingfield. His stamina is sure to come into
play in these conditions having won over further in the past and is weighted to
reverse form with William H Bonney. Hasn’t had much time to recover from his
recent run though and does look a difficult ride.
Dual performer Spice
Fair looks high enough in the handicap at present and will need to improve on
his recent form. Although he has run some decent races at the course, it’s hard
to make a case for him.
The other Gary Moore runner is Darebin who is another dual performer in this field and has been
kept busy on the flat of late. He’s 6lb higher than his last winning mark so
doesn’t look that well handicapped. Has shown improved form on the flat since
his last start over jumps but will need to progress again to be competitive
today.
Outsider of the field is
Prairie Town who reverts to hurdles after finishing runner-up over fences
the last twice. Those were decent efforts and he’s clearly in good form but hasn’t
won for a while now and looks up against it even on the best of his form.
Verdict: Not a
vintage renewal of the Imperial Cup compared to recent years but competitive
nonetheless. There’s plenty of questions marks for most of these runners and Fixe
Le Kap deserves to be the favourite with the likelihood of more to come and has
the potential to be a lot better than his mark of 138. However, it’s hard to be
confident about a horse who’s been off for such a long time. Although William H Bonney was disappointing
last time I’m prepared to forgive him that run and is of strong interest based
on his Cheltenham win. Kayf Blanco
doesn’t look obviously well handicapped but has been consistent this season and
should run his race once more. Max Do Brazil is surely better than what he
showed on his British debut but can’t be backed with any real confidence other
than the fact his stable have a good record in this race. Gassin Golf has a good record in this race and
has place credentials.
1)
William H
Bonney 2) Gassin
Golf 3) Kayf
Blanco